Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.006629 0.007398 0.008236 0.009219 0.010344 0.011596 0.013099
2025-06-01 0.005346 0.006378 0.007596 0.009149 0.011094 0.013467 0.016616
2025-06-08 0.004512 0.005617 0.006987 0.008834 0.011289 0.014483 0.019028
2025-06-15 0.004047 0.005214 0.006723 0.008852 0.011827 0.015918 0.022108
2025-06-22 0.003798 0.005044 0.006717 0.009176 0.012777 0.017987 0.026345
2025-06-29 0.003434 0.004672 0.006386 0.008989 0.012948 0.018926 0.029003
2025-07-06 0.003129 0.004350 0.006083 0.008796 0.013066 0.019769 0.031597
2025-07-13 0.002921 0.004142 0.005922 0.008788 0.013452 0.021058 0.035105
2025-07-20 0.002799 0.004050 0.005919 0.009015 0.014228 0.023068 0.040188
2025-07-27 0.002618 0.003852 0.005735 0.008930 0.014467 0.024176 0.043776
2025-08-03 0.002475 0.003701 0.005609 0.008924 0.014831 0.025542 0.048076
2025-08-10 0.002327 0.003529 0.005433 0.008813 0.014993 0.026543 0.051794
2025-08-17 0.002223 0.003426 0.005373 0.008913 0.015581 0.028495 0.058045
2025-08-24 0.002095 0.003278 0.005225 0.008847 0.015854 0.029883 0.063381
2025-08-31 0.001940 0.003071 0.004963 0.008544 0.015632 0.030215 0.066315
2025-09-07 0.001852 0.002972 0.004877 0.008561 0.016043 0.031944 0.073017
2025-09-14 0.001817 0.002960 0.004944 0.008873 0.017094 0.035231 0.084489
2025-09-21 0.001712 0.002819 0.004768 0.008693 0.017084 0.036099 0.089678
2025-09-28 0.001615 0.002687 0.004597 0.008507 0.017039 0.036880 0.094812
2025-10-05 0.001549 0.002606 0.004518 0.008500 0.017387 0.038665 0.103354
2025-10-12 0.001517 0.002585 0.004547 0.008718 0.018276 0.041947 0.117430
2025-10-19 0.001450 0.002495 0.004439 0.008636 0.018452 0.043413 0.126072
2025-10-26 0.001397 0.002427 0.004369 0.008630 0.018807 0.045418 0.137149